Tag: Analysis
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15 Months into a War — Recap. Part 2.
(Continuing Part 1) The Russian government was sure the Ukrainian defences will start to collapse as soon as they’ll see Russian military coming. In many respects that is what happened initially. Low and mid rank Ukrainian soldiers and officers had no idea what is expected from them. They couldn’t believe they are expected to hold…
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15 Months into a War — Recap, Part 1
Towards the end of 2021, the US raised the alarm: Russians are planning to invade UA. The Media was feverish: almost daily new terrifying stories about the pending unprovoked attack debuted on White House press briefings and appeared on mainstream media, citing anonymous but highly knowledgeable sources. At the same time US State Department was…
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Political Situation in Israel — Commentary on Duran’s Latest Video
Here Alexander Mercouris is analyzing the reasons for the political unrest in Israel. I would provide another point of view. According to Alexander, the main reason for push against Netanyahu is his failures to bring home results on diplomatic fronts with US, the “East” (Russia, China etc.) and especially the Muslim Middle East. For me…
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Understanding the Motivations Behind Decision Making — Failed Predictions
I started this blog mainly to record my thoughts and predictions. I view predictions as an only objective instrument to evaluate the quality of paradigm and the ability to extrapolate this on future events. Many of my early predictions have been a total failure. And only recently I started to understand why — because my…
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US “Deep State” Prepares Ground for UA Abandonment
There is a RAND paper, published to that end. While it doesn’t go out of its ways to admit the most obvious and probable result of UA losing the war east of Dnepr, leaving ruined country, economy and decimated population, it finds other arguments to push for the need to stop the shooting proxy war…
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Thoughts about the Ukrainian Offenses at Kherson and Izyum Fronts
We saw two significant Ukrainian offenses at Kherson and Izyum fronts. The first, it seems, has already failed, and the second, it seems, has already succeeded. The measure of success or failure for Ukrainian side here lies in the realm of propaganda (not necessarily in a negative sense) benefits, not in a strategical military sense.…
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